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Analysis,
investment ideas and strategies to encourage dialogue about the global
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Historic Reports
Larry Myles Reports
Bureaucratic management is
management of affairs which cannot
be checked by economic calculation.
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December, 2011
The Forgotten Graveyard of Individual Rights
… Beware EU
Convergence
Almost two years ago to the day,
I began to write a report on what was
foreseen as a monumental clash.
I believe one would have to agree
with me now that this clash between the
evolution of a grand system of faceless,
technocratic government and the people
trying to
live
and find small corners of enjoyment within
that ice-cold and elite system, has shoved
its way front and center!
Of course, the monumental clash, and
now front page news I am referring to is the
evolution of the European Union and
the rise of the modern-day
Comprachicos.
According to research by John
Boynton Kaiser in the Journal of the
American Institute of Criminal Law
and Criminology, "Victor Hugo has
given us a pretty faithful picture
of many characteristic details of
social England of the 17th century;
but the word Comprachicos is used to
describe a people whose
characteristics are an unhistorical
conglomeration of much that was once
actual but then obsolete in the
history of human society." Much that
seems unimaginable today may have
authentic roots in common practices
of the seventeenth century. One
might argue that the goals and
aspirations of those guiding the
European
Union is a modern-day extension of
the evil Comprachicos. Except today
the unelected EU Cheylas lurking in
Brussels are all about disfiguring
the
spirit of the European peoples.
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While the asset managers, investment banks
and private equity firms have taken steps to
protect collateral and assets in
anticipation of the
dissolution of the EU, faceless
technocrats who maintain the structure of
the union are
fast
tracking initiatives that will both
consolidate and
increase their power over the member
states.
Note: It is the purpose and goal of
the European Council to strengthen the
foundation of the EU. It remains the task of
leaders of the member states to
convince the
people that this is a noble goal,
while at the same time downplaying the steep
loss of independence and sovereignty if the
abominably perverse technocratic gnomes
prevail.
There is nothing like having the evidence to
cinch an argument. For years the pro-union
collectivists have been repeated their
hectoring rant, “The European Union must not
be derailed by lies and disinformation.” I
can certainly agree with that!
So rather than
lies
and disinformation, how about we examine
truth
and information through the written word
coming right out of two of Europe’s most
high-profile players own pens? Namely,
Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel,
as they brazenly hawk for the evil clowns in
Brussels!
Never Write Anything Down
…Reflect upon the possible consequences
Prior to the latest in a long string of
‘emergency summit meetings’, this one held
in Brussels, Angela Merkel and Nicolas
Sarkozy penned a joint letter to the
European Council.
In it, they shared their almost
casual violation of free market principles
to put forth a strategy for a new budgetary
discipline to be adopted by the EU
member states. They also offered a plan to
harmonize economic and fiscal policy.
To achieve their objectives, they are
calling for a renewed contract between all
member states. I am sure they kept a
straight face as they also stressed the need
to strengthen growth (?) by regaining
competitiveness and by
converging economic direction within
the union. The two Euro schills, blithely
feigning a cloistered virtue, also suggested
there is a real need for a revamped
legislative construct.
I try not to laugh at this point in writing
this, for it is truly no laughing matter.
Their suggested legislative construct
would further represent a more progressive
direction in the areas of financial market
regulation,
aligning the labor force, along with
convergence and harmonization of the
tax base….and almost as an afterthought –
the creation of a financial transaction tax!
From my side of the keyboard this sounds an
awful lot like moving
all
of the economic power out of the hands of
the member states directly into the gloved
paws of those pesky techno-gnomes in
Brussels, with nary a furtive glance. Lost
in the shuffle, what about the individual
citizens of Europe?
Furthermore, who or
what
gaunt specter will be calling the shots? In
addition, just who will be paying for all of
this
converging,
harmonizing and revamped economic
direction? As to who or what, I would
imagine the greedy and grasping gnomes would
grudgingly volunteer one their own,
out to suffer exposure to daylight so the
collective can put a human face on the
unsavory process. As to
who
will pay; I am guessing in the end it will
be Dmitry the plumber and Bruno the baker
who will be once again have to feed the
gaping maw of grinding despotism, as all of
this converging and harmonizing will
translate directly into yet more taxes and
an increase in service fees.
And Lest Anyone
Should Marvel
….the
money and the
people are
fighting back!
Although it appears the pro-union crowd
still enjoys the upper hand as it
consolidates power under the smoke screen of
the never-ending European Financial Crisis,
the common folk are not all standing idly
by. More importantly, this is to be welcomed
and expected. Europeans have a long history
of wanting to live their lives in harmony
and peace, and if they are assured of
at least a shot at the illusion of
prosperity, so much the better. But for
anyone who thinks that it was only the likes
of Marie Antoinette who had to suffer the
unforgivable tragedy of an overtaxed and
disrespected populace, think again. Europe
has enjoyed an entire Age of Revolutions
and much of it had to do with living
standards, taxes and a loss of perceived
sovereign and individual rights. Other than
the odd broken window and the display of
ungracious temper exhibited by mobs in the
streets, the true revolution has already
started, and it has commenced at the ATM
machines!
For months I have waited
in vain for the unwelcome alliance that is
the mainstream media to give these important
stories some exposure, but as usual I waited
in vain…until now.
One such previously untold calamity “Anxious
Greeks Emptying Their Bank Accounts” can
be found
here.
In addition, is panic hitting even the more
sound of the European governments? I
turn once again to Der Spiegel for “Berlin
May Have to Nationalize Giant Commerzbank”.
The story can be found
here.
There has already been a run on the banks in
Ireland and Portugal, but the stories are
almost criminally underreported. I remain
grateful to the unwearied diligence of my
European readers who first brought me
anecdotal evidence of the run on banks as
early as June of this year.
In
my opinion, running the banks is an
honorable and intelligent way to fight back
against a governing system that would
undoubtedly turn into a “1984” model of
existence for Europe, if the
technocrats prevail. What is of less value
would be the increased balkanization of the
European people. It only plays into the
seedy tricks and stratagems of euro-gnomes
for Germans to be castigating the Greeks and
vice versa. It serves no cause when you have
politicians like Geert Wilders saying that
providing aid to Greece serves less purpose
than throwing money over the dykes. But it
goes even further with the more inflammatory
comment that Europe’s beggar states should
fly their EU flags at half-mast to show the
world that they are fiscally incompetent.
What all freedom loving and intelligent
Europeans have to remember; the enemy is not
the citizens of the member states, it is the
invisible gnomes lurking in their midst.
The
Consolidation of Power
….or a pyrrhic victory?
It would be justice well served
if
the technocrats, victorious in their desire
to wield power, slithered out of
their bunkers, and while looking around…
discover a diminished civilization reduced
to shreds and tatters!
As I have already stated, the
asset managers, investment banks and private
equity firms have taken steps to protect
collateral and assets in anticipation of the
break-up of the heinous European Union. This
is not simply an exhibition of rash
behavior; it is all about the numbers!
The Numbers
Dictate a Full Retreat
Spring 2010, and I wrote a piece warning of
the massive iceberg heading towards the
shores of Europe. ETA: January 2012.
Shrugging off the intemperate scorn of the
fiat dollar defenders, along with the
pandering peddlers of dodgy debt
instruments, I remained content to make my
case. Sitting and waiting… all the while
choosing to ignore the stories of a much
larger European debt load, that not unlike
your typical iceberg, was lurking heavy in
the chill waters below.
Fast-forward
to
now…the last month of 2011 and the
European chapter of the non-recovering fiat
addicts are
suddenly in a dither. Bloomberg recently
reported that European governments will have
to satisfy over $1.5 trillion of long and
short debt in 2012, with
over
one third of that amount maturing within the
first six months. At exactly the same
time, European banks have to repay
nearly $700 billion of debt, and all
within the first quarter! For what
it’s worth, the banks will need a further
$370 billion by the end of 2012. Where will
all of this money come from? Makes no
difference to the end game if the money is
printed in Europe or America, or if there
are enough emerging country treasuries daft
enough to join this doomed bail-out effort.
Even if they are ready to jump into the
breach and pour good money after bad, the
monstrous and insupportable system that is
the European Union is too unwieldy to
succeed without infinite and eternal cash
injections.
From The Pen of a Progressive
….an opposing point of view
My readership has exploded over the
last two years and contrary to what most
think, not all of my subscribers are “small
government, gold is king, socialism is
evil”, etc. I enjoy the views of a growing
number of proud (?) liberals, with more than
a few who actually believe in the
Progressive Movement. My most ‘progressive’
reader has shared with me that he views me
as a big and dumb, but lovable dog. I am
always doing or saying something ridiculous,
but he simply cannot stay mad at me. I would
like to share his thoughts on the European
Union:
One must argue that you cannot enjoy the
benefits of a monetary union without a
fiscal union. As Herculean the task may turn
out to be, control of the European
money should rest in the hands of a central
body. This is not unlike the government of
the United States of America passing a
national budget. I strongly believe in
the European Union and their penchant for an
orderly and organized Europe. As such, the
citizens of Europe should relish
ceding their sovereign rights, as would it
not make sense with each member state being
responsible for its own fiscal direction,
without working in tandem with other member
states. Would the best outcome one
could hope for be uneven growth and one or
more member states always being in crisis?
Granted there is room for improvement in the
structure of the EU and I am confident that
once regionalism is replaced by a centralist
system, the European Union will be a
blueprint for the rest of the world to
follow.
Suffice it to say that my Progressive friend
and I are on opposite ends of this argument.
I am not going to waste time this writing
delving into the myriad of problems on this
side of the Atlantic; other than to remind
people the U.S. debt is already two times
higher than the
combined debt of Europe, and continues
to grow. Progressive or Liberal points of
view aside, if anyone thinks America’s debt
is not a blueprint for disaster, there is
not much else I can say.
Random Comments
Blathering about Europe takes up so much
space, but I do have a few points to convey
that will hopefully sharpen your function
and aim!
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With everyone fixated on the problems of
overwhelming and unsolvable paper debt,
the central banks are quietly continuing
to acquire physical gold. In 2011 alone,
the net purchases of gold by the central
banks soared to nearly 150 tonnes. This
is the highest single year purchase
since 2009.
Compare this to the final quarter
of 2010 when the central banks acquired
less than 23 tonnes of gold. “Statistics
this year have been remarkable,”
explained Marcus Grubb, managing
director of investment at the Gold
Council. The Russian central bank
purchased 15 tonnes in the third
quarter, while Thailand increased its
gold reserves by 25 tonnes. The report
states, “A number of central banks
continued their well-publicized
programmes of buying, while a slew of
new entrants emerged wishing to bolster
their gold holdings in order to
diversify their reserves. We see the
trend continuing into 2012.”
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Although 2011 saw the price of gold
experience its usual volatility, it is
safe to say the formidable and profound
decade-long run in the gold price is not
going to end anytime soon. With
everything said and done, we are still
looking at a 20% gain in the price of
gold since last year this time.
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During the hyperinflationary period of
the Weimar Republic, when in the end the
mark became worthless (1923)
the stock market became extremely active,
albeit volatile. Absolutely gorgeous
gains were realized in a very short time
period. The trick of course was timing,
as for many, a percentage of the gains
were spent on food!
But something that has been
overlooked by many historians is the
investor who did not have to sell
their shares for a potato and a piece of
bratwurst. These investors
enjoyed
windfall profits after the market
pullback. And it was not just the
pre-war rich that were able to profit by
holding shares, as many of them got
wiped out as well. Instead it was the
investors who had wisely accumulated
physical gold as the system was
imploding. With the solid backstop of
physical gold, they then turned to the
market and bought stocks while the mark
still retained reasonable value. When
the mark was finally replaced, they were
able to cash out into the new currency.
I want you to remember the Weimar Market
the next time you read about the sheer
number of faded and withering dollars
sloshing around the world and the
depressed share price of junior gold
companies!
The price of an ounce of gold is going
nowhere but up. Hopefully we can all agree
on that! Major and mid-tier gold producers
must
acquire new sources of reserves. The most
obvious place to find this production is
with the junior exploration and development
companies. Any junior gold company that
makes a significant discovery can count on
either answering the production question,
or simply selling out to a major. Be
vigilant and follow the junior explorers!
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There are approximately $200
trillion in total global financial
assets that are even now, in the
process of turning their attention
toward the $1.5 trillion in
market-available gold. If even a
fraction of this attention is
manifested, the price of gold will
go parabolic. Do the math!
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I wanted to devote more time and ink to
junior gold and silver explorers who were in
my opinion
doing
it right!
These effective and competent juniors are
shunning the glare of heavy handed and
expensive promotion, instead are plowing all
of their shareholders money into exploration
and development. We will have to save that
report for early 2012. I have identified
three such companies and look forward to
sharing my research with you.
Larry Myles
Larry Myles Reports
604-408-7600
1-877-405-7600
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Larry Myles is neither a
geologist nor a financial analyst. I do not
purport to offer personal investment advice
nor recommendations. While all statements of
fact are derived from reliable sources, and
are believed to be accurate, I make no
warrant that they are so. You must do your
own research and check statements of fact
for yourself. My opinions are precisely
that, my opinions. I do not accept any
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may experience resulting from actions taken
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qualified, you should consult with your own
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in any investment activities. Larry Myles
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recommended and may increase or decrease
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larry@larrymylesreports.com
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