Analysis, investment ideas and strategies to encourage dialogue about the global economy involving gold and silver, energy and monetary issues....




 


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Larry Myles Reports


True, governments can reduce the rate of interest in the short run. They can issue additional paper money. They can open the way to create expansion by the banks. The can thus create an artificial boom and the appearance of prosperity. But such a boom is bound to collapse soon or late and to bring about a depression.
 


June 15th, 2011


Gold As A Reliable Standard…
The Gold Standard as Inevitable


“If bank stocks are the best investments you can find for your portfolio, you should fear for your wealth.” Value Investment Institute, March 2011


Who would have thought even a few short years ago that investing in bank stocks and sovereign debt would turn out to be considered an exercise in risk and ruin! Conversely, who would ever have imagined that by practicing a disciplined due diligence process and paying heed to common-sense fundamentals, investing in junior and mid-tier gold companies could be perceived as offering increased comfort and less risk exposure than banks and bonds? And who would have thought that reality-based investing in physical gold would emerge as the wisest and most unassailable of all the wealth-building strategies?


Reality-based investing: The irrepressible and insistent principle that allows the investor to create a realistic personal investment environment leading to rational decisions based on reason, hard fact and solid market data.
 


I am sure to many of you it has become apparent our reality-based investment discipline has
completely and utterly trumped the under-producing, faith-and-whim-based Keynesian bakced model hands down.

One recent example of our success can be found in the opportunities, and alleged opportunities offered in the energy sector. It makes no difference now that while the mainstream media and moribund, formula-driven financial planners collectively fell victim to the Nudge Theory”, and touted bird-killing windmills and a wasteland of tilted mirrors; we applied reason while investigating the hard realities pertaining to both current and near-future energy needs. By living in the real world, we discovered both opportunity and profit investing in traditional and proven energy sources such as oil, gas and coal.   

During the same time period, many in the mainstream investment community wrestled over exactly how to present (and recommend) debt instrument choices.  My readers fully understand that if you want to sell any dodgy product, language and presentation are extremely important. Our reaction was to ignore the forced style and temperament of the absurd, and rely upon sane and simple logic, accumulating physical gold. Owning physical gold has undoubtedly trumped debt; as continuing crisis-events in America and Europe have proven that owning debt has turned out to be an ugly, high-risk exercise in financial futility. As an undisciplined and unrepentant Europe continues to deny financial reality (Europe is bankrupt), the efforts to sell debt will collapse; no matter how glib the pitch and patter.

As I have pointed out to anyone who would like to listen; we have one of two choices when considering the investment landscape:

  • We can embrace the conceit of the mainstream majority and rely on an investment formula that at best, will allow us to barely tread water.
     
  • Or we can identify that the timing remains right for initiating real change by ignoring the rant and gush over the increasingly elusive ‘recovery’ model as we strive to enjoy the rewards of personal prosperity.   


Embracing The Inevitable

It is now time to add meat and meaning to our game by adding inevitable into the dialogue of our reality-based investment stratagem. We must not only understand the importance of the inevitable, we must embrace it.

It was by accommodating inevitable into the overall thought process that resulted in my early report on thorium. To the best of my knowledge there is not a single thorium reactor currently in operation. Nor is there a Canadian listed publicly traded company with a focus on thorium; yet it was essential to at least introduce the topic into our narrative. Reason: Thorium as a future source of cheap and safe energy; will most certainly become an inevitable fact of life if we realistically expect to simply maintain the standards and comforts of our modern civilization. All political argument and special interest group pressure will fall by the wayside as thorium will evolve into the preferred nuclear fuel of the future.

Return to the Gold Standard? Inevitable…

Even more inevitable - the demise of the most ambitious fiat currency experiment ever devised by man; followed by a return to fiscal accountability based upon an internationally accepted gold standard. Other than the pretentious and inept followers of the flawed and fractured Keynesian theory, most of us have always been aware of the inevitable and unavoidable consequence of the willy-nilly expansion of credit. In addition how this credit expansion is bound to lead to the collapse of a fiat currency system that is based solely upon debt as a (false) measure of value.  


The return to an international gold standard does not require the return to a national gold standard by all countries. Embracing an international gold standard, the relevancy of gold becomes important for international transactions between countries. Fiat currencies, such as the US Dollar and the Euro will remain in use for domestic transactions within their respective countries.
 


I remain convinced if we ignore the jeer and scoff of the pro-fiat faction and study
only the hard evidence provided by the markets and the actions of many of the central banks, reason and logic will inevitably prevail.

History provides 3,000 years of lessons and examples why fiat currency experiments always fail.

Although fiat currency enjoys a long history of complete and utter failure, the first important lesson did not involve paper money, but the Roman (silver) denarius. Obviously the Roman Empire could not ‘over-print’ the coin of the realm, but they could
devalue their currency by lowering the silver content. 

The denarius originally contained 4.5 grams of silver and was considered the backbone of Roman currency, used extensively for trade within the Empire, as well as with foreign trading partners. Over time the silver content was reduced until the denarius contained less than .05 percent silver. The government wilfully debased the currency and Rome became a bankrupt nation and harkened the collapse of the Roman Empire!
 
Ancient China experienced the same degradation of their fiat currency
(flying paper); as in order to deal with a lack of gold and silver, the ‘printing’ of paper money was embraced by the government.

The Chinese government (Tang Dynasty) initially guaranteed the worth of their paper notes by making them exchangeable for gold, silver or silk. But by caving to temptation, the government over-printed paper money and could not make good on their promise of redemption. This led to a complete and cataclysmic fiat currency collapse.

The heavy reliance upon fiat currency throughout history always occurs during times of financial stress. Consequently, history records that every fiat currency experiment lead either to a paper money collapse, or the affected government pre-emptively shifting back to a commodity-based standard.

In its day, the Roman denarius was the de facto reserve currency for most of the civilized world; not unlike how we currently view the American dollar. The Romans by debasing the denarius, created their own markers for decline and destruction as a world power. America does not have to follow the same path if the country voluntarily returns to a standard of gold.

I would hope that before the U.S. dollar completes the final leg of its journey toward pariah status, lawmakers in Washington will return to instinctive and rational thought and reject the destructive culture of over-spending. If there is a return to rational thought and responsible action, logic dictates it would be inevitable that America will make its way back to the gold standard; thereby rehabilitating the worth of the American dollar. This could and would set the stage for national and individual prosperity, and “American Exceptionalism” will once again be the example for the world to follow!


Gold, Silver Coins Designated Legal Currency in Utah

May 2011, Gold as good as cash. Utah became the first state in the country this month to legalize gold and silver coins as currency. The law also will exempt the sale of the coins from state capital gains taxes.

 

The Doomed Experiment Nearly Full Circle

Hopefully it will not take an absolute worldwide credit collapse to rouse the global Keynesian-based power structure to stand aside in favour of those who offer a more reality-based financial blueprint. That being said, the Keynesian idiot is a stubborn idiot and will fight to the bitter end before conceding defeat.

It is no accident that ever since the total demise of the gold bond (August 15th, 1971) the world lost its most powerful tool for stopping debt dead in its tracks. Remember: The gold bond was the standard of credit and credibility by which the worth of all other forms of debt was determined.

Without the stability of the gold bond, debt was allowed to grow by leaps and bounds. Over the last forty-plus years, the masking and movement of debt has accelerated to the point where no one really understands the alleged worth of many of the instruments of debt. Case in point; sophisticated and highly successful money managers are turning away from bank stocks. Why?  Because the looming tower of derivatives has morphed into an incomprehensible modern-day Tower of Babel.

Again, we can trace the growth of an increasingly dubious debt tower to the removal of a benchmark of worth and value. Without the bracing bucket of cold water (gold bonds), the quality of debt continues to debase. And without any reality-based accountability, the growth of all debt continues unchecked. Using only the common sense we were born with, it only stands to reason that this monster of debt is even now, overwhelming the fiat based financial system. And in so doing, creating an ongoing series of crisis events that will inevitably lead to a total economic collapse. My goodness, even the terrorist-loving, corrupt progressive globalists at the United Nations are sounding the alarm. (U.S. Dollar Could Collapse)

Ignoring Opinion and Conceit

Is a return to a gold standard inevitable? Perhaps we should allow the reality of hard numbers to tell the story:

During the first quarter of 2011, an increasing number of investors abandoned gold exchange traded funds in favour of physical gold! This lifted overall bullion demand by 11 percent. Globally, physical gold demand rose by a whopping 52 percent (125.5 tons to 366.4 tons).

Central banks were also very active, adding nearly 130 tons of the yellow metal – up from 58.8 tons in the first quarter of 2010. I am sure I do not have to remind you that until recent years the central banks were net suppliers of gold into the market.

This has been a rather dramatic reversal in the core philosophy of the world’s central banks. I am sure everyone is aware that many countries, including China and Russia are aggressively increasing their gold-to-reserves ratio.

So on one hand we have every brand of fiat currency losing ground against gold, coupled with an ever-increasing robust demand for physical gold on a global level; and what? You think that somehow the hobbled fiat currency experiment can continue to stumble along? It simply will not happen and for a rather simplistic and overlooked reason: there are not enough wheelbarrows or pilfered shopping carts to go around. And at this rate, how long do you think it will be before we see $1,000.00 and $5,000.00 bank notes? Is it any wonder I continue to rely on logic and common sense, standing firm in my recommendation to buy physical gold and silver!


 
Larry Myles
Larry Myles Reports
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Larry Myles is neither a geologist nor a financial analyst. I do not purport to offer personal investment advice nor recommendations. While all statements of fact are derived from reliable sources, and are believed to be accurate, I make no warrant that they are so. You must do your own research and check statements of fact for yourself. My opinions are precisely that, my opinions. I do not accept any responsibility for any gains or losses you may experience resulting from actions taken based on my opinions. If not otherwise qualified, you should consult with your own personal financial advisor before engaging in any investment activities. Larry Myles Reports does not provide individual investment advice, act as an investment advisor, or individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. Larry Myles may actively trade in the investments discussed in this publication. Larry Myles may have a substantial position in the securities recommended and may increase or decrease such positions without notice. I do not know your personal financial circumstances. I am not your personal financial advisor. You must do your own due diligence. By entering this web site, or reading LMR reports, you acknowledge and accept the foregoing.

 

 


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