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Larry Myles Reports


Those politicians, professors and union bosses who curse big business are fighting for a lower standard of living.
 


May, 2011

Gold the Beacon of Economic Reality
....as the abandoned U.S. dollar continues to lose relevancy


Be it a rude and sober assessment exposing American debt by a recognized credit rating agency, or the purchase of over 6,000 bars of gold by an ahead-of-the-curve hedge-fund manager, be assured of one thing; boil both pronouncements down to their most basic essence, and the message is all about inflation.
 


Risking the charge of hubris, many of my more seasoned readers may remember that in November, 2008 I called for gold (then priced at $836) to steadily appreciate in value and by April 2011, it would not be untoward to expect an ounce of gold to be selling for $1500 USD. I thought then as I do now; gold and silver are the safest and most reliable of all currencies.

"With all the money printing going on and with history firmly on my side, the odds are there for fiat currencies around the world to collapse. Long before this happens, expect to see the price of an ounce of gold move up the charts. $1000 gold is a given, $1200 gold will become an accepted level and (imo) before the price of gold goes parabolic, it would not surprise me to see an ounce of gold hit $1500 an ounce by Easter, 2011." -- Compelling and Unstoppable: The Historic Secular Gold Bull Market.
 

For those who bought into our 2008 reality-based investment stratagem, the certainty of $1500 gold was comparable to a traveler looking at a road map and confirming the way station is located exactly it supposed to be. Moving forward, it is simple logic that gold will continue to reach record highs while the global economic community stifling their cares and anxieties contemplate the irreversible trend of the U.S. dollar fading as the world's reserve currency.

I had intended to offer comment on chance and opportunity emerging out of the second-phase tipping point of the surging gold bull market. At the same time, drawing attention to the $200 trillion in total global financial assets that may be turning focus on the $1.5 trillion of market-available gold. Obviously even a fraction of the $200 trillion moving toward gold would dramatically impact the price of the yellow metal.

Instead, allow me to attempt a compelling and strategic discussion regarding the importance of hands-on gold and silver ownership, based solely on two recent news stories:

  • Texas University endowment holds almost $1 billion in gold bars.
     
  • Standard & Poor's lowers its outlook on American long-term debt.

In April of this year, S&P warned the Obama regime that there is a one-in-three chance that the debt rating may face further cuts within two years if the U.S. cannot find the will to get their house in order.

After the S&P lowered the boom on U.S debt, it did not take long for the anti-gold, pro-dollar meme to go viral on the Internet.

It must be a lonely room right now for the beleaguered pro-dollar crowd, as their pitch is falling flat.

One very telling quote from an economist at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd., "For investors there is nowhere else to put their money as the U.S. still has the strongest, deepest, most-liquid markets in the world. There is no alternative."

Apparently this lack of an alternative fell on deaf ears as Dallas hedge-fund manager J. Kyle Bass advised the University of Texas Investment Management Company to swap out fiat currency for 6,643 gold bars (worth $991.7 million) and store the gold in a bank warehouse in New York.

Standard & Poor's Echoes the Alarm


I laud S&P for finally delivering American politicians a warning shot across the bow; albeit long overdue. Six months previous, China's Dagong Global Credit Rating Company lowered their U.S. credit rating, blaming irresponsible Fed monetary policy. Washington did not listen then, and I am not convinced they are listening now; as even though the current downgrade is the first (western based) acknowledgment that the concerns over sovereign debt have now spread from Europe to America. Sadly, but oh so predictably, the response from the White House was less than muted!

As to the hedge-fund manager… he put into words what many of us already know, "Central banks are printing more money than they ever have, and so what is the value of money in terms of purchases of goods and services." He goes on to add, "I look at gold as just another currency that they can't print any more of."

The only lesson I can come away with from the "there is no alternative" comment is yet another solid confirmation that the detached and increasingly isolated banking community continues to lose relevancy as they stubbornly cling to their tattered and shabby fiat currency system. I can happily and proudly say; that many of my readers have all but abandoned this sinking philosophy! Yes, gold is just another currency, but one that stands as a trusted beacon of financial reality.

Inflation, the Beast is Loose and Being Nurtured by The Fed
 

Be it a rude and sober assessment on American debt by a recognized credit rating agency, or the purchase of over 6,000 bars of gold by an ahead-of-the-curve hedge-fund manager. We can be assured of one thing; boil both pronouncements down to their most basic essence, and the message is all about dollar collapse and very real fear over inflation.

Rather than get into a nonsensical debate with any of the dispirited pro-dollar defenders, consider: As of 1998, a $100 bill will not buy as much as a $20 bill could buy in the 1960’s. (Thomas Sowell).

One more sobering statistic; in 1999 it would take $1 trillion to buy all of the gold and silver ever produced over the last 6,000 years. Today it would take $6 trillion, and that number is going up every day! Reason: paper money, if not yet technically worthless, is well on its way.

The strong whiff of inflation that we are now experiencing will rapidly accelerate to a cloying stench. I deeply suspect that all of the nattering by the current gang in Washington is only a media inspired exercise in primp and posture. In the end, the debt ceiling will be raised; more dollar bills will be printed and the worth of those freshly printed dollars will continue to erode.

What this means in the short-term is inflation you can smell, touch and taste! The price of cotton, cocoa, coffee, wheat and corn are all on the rise. In the medium-term if inflation is left unchecked, it will morph into galloping inflation and perhaps even hyperinflation; thereby destroying the standard of living America has come to take for granted. To my fellow Canadians, do not for a moment think that when America goes down we will not be affected. The U.S. is our largest trading partner and we will be seriously impacted!


To those of you who have in the past chided me for even mentioning hyperinflation, note: Be it the disaster of the Weimar Republic or the ruinous fiscal folly of Zimbabwe, we are now experiencing an unprecedented amount of paper money being debased through the willful over-printing of fiat by the custodial country of the world’s reserve currency. This is a historical precedent not seen since the collapse of the Roman Empire.
 

Anyone who has paused to consider the dictatorial and insolent Keynesian Theory for even one mad and irresponsible moment recognizes the drone of their bogus mantra; inflation might be the bogeyman, but deflation is a civilization-destroying monster. Avoid deflation at all costs!

Never mind that deflation offers a hard and unsparing opportunity to purge all the bad decisions made by government and business. History has proven time and time again that a period of economic catharsis though unpalatable, is necessary, unless of course you are connected to the government apparatus. Throughout history, elected leaders and despots alike have succumbed to the dread fear that deflation would destroy their in-country system of government. Inflation on the other hand, allows government to kick the can down the road; thus preserving their system of government (along with their jobs). In America, this mechanism of deliberate economic avoidance has worked since the days of the Great Depression. Like every slick confidence game – the con only works until it (suddenly) stops.

The Gold Party - First Seated, First Served

 If after all the evidence there are still some of you who continue to stubbornly cling to dollars and dollar denominated assets, get ready to watch inflation reduce dollar-based life savings to nothing, almost overnight. You simply cannot continue to nurture and foster hope that the dollars in your bank account are going to retain any future value. Your future financial safety depends on gold.

A word of caution; do not take forever to trek toward the golden beacon of reality. While most Americans are only now beginning to understand the full impact of their financial fragility, there are central banks in other countries that are fully aware of the ascendancy of gold as a global currency. As reported earlier in the year, German safe deposit boxes are at a premium, with most already having been spoken for and packed with gold bars and coins. Inflation in Europe is twice that of in America, so demand for physical gold continues to rise as both central banks and individual investors are attempting to stockpile more of the yellow metal.

Of at least equal importance, is the surging demand for gold in Asia, in particular China. Unlike America, the people of China have always trusted gold over mere paper money. The fact that China now has an educated and affluent middle-class of over 400 million people has not thwarted their love affair with gold. According to numbers out of the Shanghai Gold Exchange, there exists a steep shortage of gold; be it gold coins and bars right down to raw and unrefined gold. It is quite telling that China; now the world's number one gold producer, cannot keep up with domestic Chinese demand!

The Most Important Reason to Own Silver

As the price of gold continues to move higher, we may very well wake up one day to find out that purchasing gold with U.S. dollars is a non-starter. It happened in the past and history could certainly repeat. With the trust in paper money plummeting, it only stands to reason that we may return to assessing financial security in a different way.

Owning physical gold will
become your measure of wealth and security, while silver will become the people’s currency to obtain goods and services. And if you want to easily, and without haggling over the worth, or lack thereof of paper money, you will be using silver to purchase gold; thereby adding to your measure of wealth. There is nothing to fear by gold ownership; as it is only a matter of time before smart Americans elect a federal government that will lead us back to a system that is based on gold - more than likely, a system that utilizes gold bonds. 

Our (continued) Solution? Front-Run the Governments of the World

Obviously gold (and silver) remain the surest investment on the planet; as has been the case for the last decade. Our business of gold strategy has paid dividends and will continue to succeed as long as the powers that be continue to practice reality-avoidance. There is not a fiat currency on the planet that even comes close to offering the security of gold and silver.

The business of gold begins and ends with a common sense approach; accumulate as much physical gold and silver as possible. Familiarize yourself with the gold standard; the world may once again be forced to enjoy a system based on financial reality and responsibility.

To accelerate the process and potentially maximize your gains, embrace the opportunities of investing in the junior gold and silver markets. The method and the goal is simple and straightforward; initiate a realistic due diligence program, invest in a company that follows the precepts of the business of gold; realize paper money profits and swap the paper gains into the reality of holding physical gold and silver. As per usual, be prepared to buy on the dips; as both gold and silver prices will fluctuate, and in the case of silver expect mighty corrections along the way to record highs. 
 

Larry Myles
Larry Myles Reports
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Larry Myles is neither a geologist nor a financial analyst. I do not purport to offer personal investment advice nor recommendations. While all statements of fact are derived from reliable sources, an d are believed to be accurate, I make no warrant that they are so. You must do your own research and check statements of fact for yourself. My opinions are precisely that, my opinions. I do not accept any responsibility for any gains or losses you may experience resulting from actions taken based on my opinions. If not otherwise qualified, you should consult with your own personal financial advisor before engaging in any investment activities. Larry Myles Reports does not provide individual investment advice, act as an investment advisor, or individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. Larry Myles may actively trade in the investments discussed in this publication. Larry Myles may have a substantial position in the securities recommended and may increase or decrease such positions without notice. I do not know your personal financial circumstances. I am not your personal financial advisor. You must do your own due diligence. By entering this web site, or reading LMR reports, you acknowledge and accept the foregoing.

 

 


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