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Analysis,
investment ideas and strategies to encourage dialogue about the global
economy involving gold and silver, energy and monetary
issues....
Historic Reports
Larry Myles Reports
Those politicians, professors and
union bosses who curse big business
are fighting for a lower standard of
living. |
May, 2011
Gold the Beacon of
Economic Reality ....as
the abandoned U.S. dollar continues to lose
relevancy
Be it a rude and sober assessment exposing
American debt by a recognized credit rating
agency, or the purchase of over 6,000 bars
of gold by an ahead-of-the-curve hedge-fund
manager, be assured of one thing; boil both
pronouncements down to their most basic
essence, and the message is all about
inflation.
Risking the charge of hubris, many
of my more seasoned readers may
remember that in November, 2008 I
called for gold (then priced at
$836) to steadily appreciate in
value and by April 2011, it would
not be untoward to expect an ounce
of gold to be selling for $1500 USD.
I thought then as I do now; gold and
silver are the safest and most
reliable of all currencies.
"With all the money printing
going on and with history firmly on
my side, the odds are there for fiat
currencies around the world to
collapse. Long before this happens,
expect to see the price of an ounce
of gold move up the charts. $1000
gold is a given, $1200 gold will
become an accepted level and (imo)
before the price of gold goes
parabolic, it would not surprise me
to see an ounce of gold hit $1500 an
ounce by Easter, 2011." --
Compelling and Unstoppable: The
Historic Secular Gold Bull Market.
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For those who bought
into our 2008 reality-based investment stratagem, the
certainty of $1500 gold was comparable to a traveler
looking at a road map and confirming the way station is
located exactly it supposed to be. Moving forward, it is
simple logic that gold will continue to reach record
highs while the global economic community stifling their
cares and anxieties contemplate
the irreversible trend of the U.S. dollar fading as the
world's reserve currency.
I had intended to offer comment
on chance and opportunity emerging out of the second-phase tipping point of the
surging gold bull market. At the same time, drawing attention to the $200
trillion in total global financial assets that
may be
turning focus on the $1.5 trillion of market-available
gold. Obviously even a fraction of the $200 trillion
moving toward gold would dramatically impact the price
of the yellow metal.
Instead, allow me to attempt a
compelling and strategic discussion regarding the
importance of hands-on gold and silver ownership, based
solely on two recent news stories:
- Texas University
endowment holds almost $1 billion in gold bars.
- Standard & Poor's
lowers its outlook on American long-term debt.
In April
of this year, S&P warned the Obama regime that there is
a one-in-three chance that the debt rating
may face further cuts within two years if the U.S.
cannot find the will to get their house in order.
After
the S&P lowered the boom on U.S debt, it did not take
long for the anti-gold, pro-dollar meme to go viral on
the Internet.
It must be a lonely room right now for the beleaguered
pro-dollar crowd, as their pitch is falling flat.
One very telling quote from an economist at the Bank of
Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd., "For investors there is
nowhere else to put their money as the U.S. still has
the strongest, deepest, most-liquid markets in the
world. There is no alternative."
Apparently this lack of an
alternative fell on deaf ears as Dallas hedge-fund
manager J. Kyle Bass advised the University of Texas
Investment Management Company to swap out fiat currency
for 6,643 gold bars (worth $991.7 million) and store the
gold in a bank warehouse in New York.
Standard & Poor's Echoes the Alarm
I laud S&P for finally delivering American
politicians a warning shot across the bow; albeit long
overdue. Six months previous, China's Dagong Global
Credit Rating Company lowered their U.S. credit rating,
blaming irresponsible Fed monetary policy. Washington
did not listen then, and I am not convinced they are
listening now; as even though the current downgrade is
the first (western based) acknowledgment that the
concerns over sovereign debt have now spread from Europe
to America. Sadly, but oh so predictably, the response
from the White House was less than muted!
As to the hedge-fund manager… he put into words what
many of us already know, "Central banks are
printing more money than they ever have, and so what is
the value of money in terms of purchases of goods and
services." He goes on to add, "I look at gold as
just another currency that they can't print any
more of."
The only lesson I can come away
with from the "there is no alternative" comment
is yet another solid confirmation that the detached and
increasingly isolated banking
community continues to lose relevancy as they stubbornly
cling to their tattered and shabby fiat currency
system. I can happily
and proudly say; that many of my readers have all but
abandoned this sinking philosophy! Yes, gold is just another currency, but one
that stands as a trusted beacon of financial reality.
Inflation, the Beast is Loose
and Being Nurtured by The Fed
Be it a rude and sober assessment on American debt by
a recognized credit rating agency, or the purchase of
over 6,000 bars of gold by an ahead-of-the-curve
hedge-fund manager.
We can be assured of one
thing; boil both pronouncements down to their most basic
essence, and the message is all about dollar collapse
and very real fear over inflation.
Rather than get into a nonsensical debate with any of
the dispirited pro-dollar defenders, consider:
As of 1998, a $100 bill will not buy as much as a $20
bill could buy in the 1960’s.
(Thomas Sowell). One more sobering statistic; in 1999 it would take $1
trillion to buy all of the gold and silver ever produced
over the last 6,000 years. Today it would take $6
trillion, and that number is going up every day! Reason:
paper money, if not yet technically worthless, is
well on its way.
The strong whiff of inflation that we are now
experiencing will rapidly accelerate to a cloying
stench. I deeply suspect that all of the nattering by
the current gang in Washington is only a media inspired
exercise in primp and posture. In the end, the debt
ceiling will be raised; more dollar bills will be
printed and the worth of those freshly printed dollars
will continue to erode.
What this means in the short-term is inflation you
can smell, touch and taste! The price of cotton, cocoa,
coffee, wheat and corn are all on the rise. In the
medium-term if inflation is left unchecked, it will
morph into galloping inflation and perhaps even
hyperinflation; thereby destroying the standard of
living America has come to take for granted. To my
fellow Canadians, do not for a moment think that when
America goes down we will not be affected. The U.S. is
our largest trading partner and we will be seriously
impacted!
To those of
you who have in the past chided me for even
mentioning hyperinflation, note:
Be it the disaster of the Weimar Republic or the
ruinous fiscal folly of Zimbabwe, we are now
experiencing an unprecedented amount of paper
money being debased through the willful
over-printing of fiat by the custodial country
of the world’s reserve currency. This is a
historical precedent not seen since the collapse
of the Roman Empire.
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Anyone who has paused to consider the dictatorial and
insolent Keynesian
Theory for even one mad and irresponsible moment
recognizes the drone of their bogus mantra; inflation
might be the bogeyman, but deflation is a civilization-destroying monster.
Avoid deflation at all costs!
Never mind that
deflation offers a hard and unsparing opportunity to purge all the bad
decisions made by government and business. History has
proven time and time again that a period of economic
catharsis though unpalatable, is necessary, unless of
course you are connected to the government
apparatus. Throughout history, elected leaders and
despots alike have succumbed to the dread fear that
deflation would destroy their in-country system of
government. Inflation on the other hand, allows
government to kick the can down the road; thus
preserving their system of government (along with
their jobs). In America, this mechanism of
deliberate economic avoidance has worked since the days
of the Great Depression. Like every slick confidence
game – the con only works until it (suddenly) stops.
The Gold Party - First Seated,
First Served
If after all the evidence there are still some of you
who continue to stubbornly cling to dollars and dollar
denominated assets, get ready to watch inflation reduce
dollar-based life savings to nothing, almost
overnight. You simply cannot continue to nurture and
foster hope that the
dollars in your bank account are going to retain any
future value. Your future financial safety depends
on gold.
A word of caution; do not take
forever to trek toward the golden beacon of reality.
While most Americans are only now beginning to
understand the full impact of their financial fragility,
there are central banks in other countries that are
fully aware of the ascendancy of gold as a global
currency. As reported earlier in the year, German safe
deposit boxes are at a premium, with most already having
been spoken for and packed with gold bars and coins.
Inflation in Europe is twice that of in America, so
demand for physical gold continues to rise as both
central banks and individual investors are attempting to
stockpile more of the yellow metal.
Of at least equal importance, is
the
surging demand for gold in Asia, in particular
China. Unlike America, the people of China have always
trusted gold over mere paper money. The fact that China
now has an educated and affluent middle-class of over
400 million people has not thwarted their love affair
with gold. According to numbers out of the Shanghai Gold
Exchange, there exists a steep shortage of gold; be it
gold coins and bars right down to raw and unrefined
gold. It is quite telling that China; now the world's
number one gold producer, cannot keep up with domestic
Chinese demand!
The
Most Important Reason to Own Silver
As
the price of gold continues to move higher, we may very
well wake up one day to find out that purchasing gold
with U.S. dollars is a non-starter. It happened in the
past and history could certainly repeat. With the trust
in paper money plummeting, it only stands to reason that
we may return to assessing financial security in a
different way.
Owning physical gold will become your measure of
wealth and security, while silver will become the
people’s currency to obtain goods and services. And
if you want to easily, and without haggling over the
worth, or lack thereof of paper money, you will be using
silver to purchase gold; thereby adding to your measure
of wealth. There is nothing to fear by gold ownership;
as it is only a matter of time before smart Americans
elect a federal government that will lead us back to a
system that is based on gold - more than likely, a
system that utilizes gold bonds.
Our (continued) Solution? Front-Run the
Governments of the World
Obviously gold (and silver) remain the surest
investment on the planet; as has been the case for the
last decade. Our
business of gold strategy has paid dividends and
will continue to succeed as long as the powers that be
continue to practice reality-avoidance. There is not a
fiat currency on the planet that even comes close to
offering the security of gold and silver.
The business of gold begins and
ends with a common sense approach; accumulate as much
physical gold and silver as possible. Familiarize
yourself with the
gold standard; the world may once again be forced to
enjoy a system based on financial reality and
responsibility.
To accelerate the process and
potentially maximize your gains, embrace the
opportunities of investing in the junior gold and silver
markets. The method and the goal is simple and
straightforward; initiate a realistic due diligence
program, invest in a company that follows the precepts
of the business of gold; realize paper money profits and
swap the paper gains into the reality of holding
physical gold and silver. As per usual, be prepared to
buy on the dips; as both gold and silver
prices will fluctuate, and in the case of silver expect
mighty corrections along the way to record highs.
Larry Myles
Larry Myles Reports
604-408-7600
1-877-405-7600
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Larry Myles is neither a
geologist nor a financial analyst. I do not
purport to offer personal investment advice
nor recommendations. While all statements of
fact are derived from reliable sources, an d
are believed to be accurate, I make no
warrant that they are so. You must do your
own research and check statements of fact
for yourself. My opinions are precisely
that, my opinions. I do not accept any
responsibility for any gains or losses you
may experience resulting from actions taken
based on my opinions. If not otherwise
qualified, you should consult with your own
personal financial advisor before engaging
in any investment activities. Larry Myles
Reports does not provide individual
investment advice, act as an investment
advisor, or individually advocate the
purchase or sale of any security or
investment. Larry Myles may actively trade
in the investments discussed in this
publication. Larry Myles may have a
substantial position in the securities
recommended and may increase or decrease
such positions without notice.
I do not know
your personal financial circumstances. I am
not your personal financial advisor. You
must do your own due diligence. By entering
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acknowledge and accept the foregoing.
larry@larrymylesreports.com
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